Al Gore’s not the only AGW believer to make the statement that the Arctic would be an ice-free zone during the summer months very soon but he’s probably the most famous. He repeated that prediction at his speech at the Copenhagen climate conference yesterday and, according to the Times of London, got called out on it by the man whose work Gore quoted to make the prediction:
In his speech, Mr Gore told the conference: “These figures are fresh. Some of the models suggest to Dr [Wieslav] Maslowski that there is a 75 per cent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during the summer months, could be completely ice-free within five to seven years.”
However, the climatologist whose work Mr Gore was relying upon dropped the former Vice-President in the water with an icy blast.
“It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at,” Dr Maslowski said. “I would never try to estimate likelihood at anything as exact as this.”
Mr Gore’s office later admitted that the 75 per cent figure was one used by Dr Maslowksi as a “ballpark figure” several years ago in a conversation with Mr Gore.
Let’s be clear on what just happened: Gore’s office has just confirmed what many of us have been accusing him (and his supporters) of for several years. He’s been exaggerating the situation and the facts don’t back him up.
This is damaging in a number of ways. The rhetoric Gore and other supporters of the AGW theory offer isn’t being issued in a vacuum, it’s being talked about in order to generate support for seriously cutting back on power generation and consumption. It’s being talked about in order to generate support for massive transfers of funding from countries with high GDP’s to those with low GDP’s. In other words, they’re talking about it because they want to force a re-engineering of the economic and political landscape.
So when, on the heels of yet another speech castigating so-called “rich” countries for their policies and demanding they change, it’s demonstrated that they’ve overstated the danger to the point of lying about it… well, you don’t generate much support for change like that. Of course, there are still people who believe every syllable that drops from the mouth of Gore and those people are working feverishly to contract the economies of countries where people are depending on those economies to make their living.
From Gore’s exaggerations to the ClimateGate scandal, we can see that we’re not getting the kind of rational, scientific approach to understanding our climate mechanism like we need to in order to even consider actions one way or the other. So long as people like Al Gore and these “scientists” at the CRU at the University of East Anglia are more interested in getting us all to do things the way they want to than in the real science, this debate will remain far from settled. Try being really honest and pursuing real science for a switch, fellas.